Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 959.101183 1092.543183 1243.784223 1429.117704 1651.779887 1912.806669 2245.117025
2025-01-12 745.227592 909.662024 1113.973224 1391.000546 1764.007356 2259.708193 2987.581344
2025-01-19 627.828103 797.988666 1021.317398 1343.673033 1810.724423 2486.030644 3583.343720
2025-01-26 578.841537 762.604414 1015.957480 1403.384749 2005.258750 2950.941398 4656.697685
2025-02-02 533.936884 724.194424 997.303158 1435.666502 2158.862340 3382.514823 5814.803381
2025-02-09 494.330082 687.143340 973.614199 1453.215839 2287.972345 3799.701261 7096.906707
2025-02-16 455.432307 646.048305 937.494040 1443.161618 2365.016854 4138.362140 8352.079185
2025-02-23 433.237306 627.520026 933.534096 1484.821841 2541.118554 4712.938040 10405.948811
2025-03-02 414.439981 612.010724 931.963041 1529.294119 2730.295549 5368.702661 13026.775447
2025-03-09 392.532567 589.156723 915.147600 1542.685341 2858.731043 5926.963010 15723.711070
2025-03-16 368.762138 561.002381 886.046506 1528.189216 2924.547639 6354.783211 18304.791588
2025-03-23 353.574438 545.871767 878.089369 1553.544583 3083.551810 7075.725025 22517.175958
2025-03-30 327.473436 510.829947 832.455009 1499.928721 3057.220906 7305.958392 25116.400007
2025-04-06 305.116101 480.799043 793.608010 1456.136878 3048.476762 7595.695560 28352.271877
2025-04-13 284.352981 452.011759 754.425177 1406.421575 3015.077389 7801.243840 31449.827752
2025-04-20 279.007308 450.320097 766.418210 1469.707912 3288.659300 9124.961635 42730.079662
2025-04-27 270.675350 442.472933 765.578350 1503.995943 3493.501248 10322.372197 55793.721809
2025-05-04 261.323801 431.998376 758.457582 1522.632819 3659.402031 11469.697041 71519.744641
2025-05-11 249.830241 416.676623 740.126389 1511.954200 3736.285022 12303.680710 87063.474072
2025-05-18 244.302690 412.315666 743.951507 1556.211482 3996.358308 14115.939472 120956.709079
2025-05-25 239.293200 408.566287 748.659258 1603.480747 4281.571421 16276.886169 173371.968460
2025-06-01 231.826349 399.467007 741.062237 1617.719071 4459.985278 18041.709043 234568.530464
2025-06-08 222.545117 386.177640 723.236598 1602.306050 4530.016918 19266.012283 297661.874870